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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Damir Hadzovic won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1492
Damir Hadzovic
Elo1491

Damir HadzovicvsPolo ReyesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · Saturday, February 23, 2019Prague, Czech Republic

Official fight result

Damir Hadzovic won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:03

Model Prediction: Polo Reyes wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Damir Hadzovic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Polo Reyes at +265 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Damir Hadzovic is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Polo Reyes has lost 100% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Damir Hadzovic
Red Corner
VS
Polo Reyes
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
1492
Elo
1491
39
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damir HadzovicL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19
L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20
W
vs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 21
L
vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22
L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25
latest
Polo Reyes
oldest →
W
KOvs Cesar Arzamendia · Nov 15
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Jun 16
W
DECvs Jason Novelli · Nov 16
L
KOvs James Vick · May 17
W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Jan 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Damir HadzovicMetricPolo Reyes
3.34
Strikes / min
—
3.74
Strikes absorbed / min
—
59%
Strike defense
—
0.91
TDs / 15 min
—
34%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1507 vs 1551Strikes29.0 vs 45.8Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 0.5
Damir HadzovicPolo Reyes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)Polo Reyes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -189.0|Blue +189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Damir Hadzovic

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10

Polo Reyes

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2