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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Christos Giagos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1495

Damir HadzovicvsChristos GiagosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Christos Giagos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Damir Hadzovic wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Christos Giagos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Damir Hadzovic at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Christos Giagos has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Damir Hadzovic

Red Corner

Christos Giagos

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1492

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damir HadzovicL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Polo Reyes · Feb 19

SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20

vs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 21

vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25

latest

Christos GiagosL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Sep 21

SUBvs Thiago Moises · Jun 22

KOvs Ricky Glenn · Apr 23

SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23

KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Damir HadzovicMetricChristos Giagos

3.34

Strikes / min

3.03

3.74

Strikes absorbed / min

3.21

59%

Strike defense

50%

0.91

TDs / 15 min

2.84

34%

Takedown defense

52%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Damir HadzovicChristos Giagos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)Christos Giagos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.4|Blue +2.4

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Damir HadzovicTargetChristos Giagos

By target zone

42% acc · 83%

Head

31% acc · 60%

25% acc · 13%

Body

75% acc · 26%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

31% acc · 58%

Distance

42% acc · 81%

83% acc · 21%

Clinch

60% acc · 13%

50% acc · 21%

Ground

25% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Damir Hadzovic rounds

even

Christos Giagos rounds

Round 1Christos Giagos edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:02

17Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:27Control

Round 2Christos Giagos edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control0:10

25Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:35Control

Round 3Damir Hadzovic edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control1:53

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 61

Sig Strikes

47 / 113

37%

Sig Str %

38.3%

42 / 87

Total Strikes

67 / 141

1 / 1

TDs

6 / 13

100%

TD %

49.7%

Sub Att

Rev

2:05

Ctrl Time

5:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Christos Giagos	17 / 41	27 / 56	2 / 3
1	Damir Hadzovic	4 / 16	4 / 16	0 / 0
2	Christos Giagos	25 / 55	28 / 60	2 / 4
2	Damir Hadzovic	6 / 20	11 / 25	1 / 1
3	Christos Giagos	5 / 17	12 / 25	2 / 6
3	Damir Hadzovic	14 / 25	27 / 46	0 / 0

Damir Hadzovic

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10

Christos Giagos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights14