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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dong Hyun Ma won · S-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1379

Damien BrownvsDong Hyun MaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · Saturday, February 10, 2018Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Dong Hyun Ma won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Damien Brown wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Dong Hyun Ma wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Damien Brown at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Damien Brown is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Dong Hyun Ma has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Damien Brown has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Damien Brown

Red Corner

Dong Hyun Ma

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1364

Elo

1379

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damien BrownL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alan Patrick · Mar 16

KOvs Cesar Arzamendia · Jul 16

vs Jon Tuck · Nov 16

KOvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 17

vs Frank Camacho · Nov 17

latest

Dong Hyun MaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Brendan O'Reilly · Dec 16

KOvs Takanori Gomi · Sep 17

KOvs Devonte Smith · Feb 19

KOvs Scott Holtzman · Aug 19

DECvs Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer · Dec 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Damien BrownMetricDong Hyun Ma

3.66

Strikes / min

2.84

4.86

Strikes absorbed / min

4.10

50%

Strike defense

54%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

1.27

53%

Takedown defense

33%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.20evenly matched on net striking-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Damien BrownDong Hyun Ma

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Damien Brown(6 fights)Dong Hyun Ma(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.1|Blue +15.1

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -57.0|Blue +57.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Damien BrownTargetDong Hyun Ma

By target zone

20% acc · 35%

Head

38% acc · 64%

63% acc · 26%

Body

37% acc · 10%

78% acc · 39%

Leg

85% acc · 25%

By position

37% acc · 100%

Distance

44% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Damien Brown rounds

even

Dong Hyun Ma rounds

Round 1Dong Hyun Ma edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Dong Hyun Ma edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Dong Hyun Ma edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 123

Sig Strikes

67 / 153

38%

Sig Str %

43.3%

46 / 123

Total Strikes

68 / 154

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dong Hyun Ma	22 / 49	23 / 50	0 / 0
1	Damien Brown	11 / 27	11 / 27	0 / 0
2	Dong Hyun Ma	23 / 49	23 / 49	0 / 0
2	Damien Brown	15 / 35	15 / 35	0 / 0
3	Dong Hyun Ma	22 / 55	22 / 55	0 / 0
3	Damien Brown	20 / 61	20 / 61	0 / 0

Damien Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Dong Hyun Ma

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8