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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Liu Pingyuan won · U-DEC R3
Elo1367
Damian Stasiak
Elo1379
Liu Pingyuan

Damian StasiakvsLiu PingyuanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Sunday, July 22, 2018Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Liu Pingyuan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Damian Stasiak wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Liu Pingyuan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Damian Stasiak at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Damian Stasiak
Red Corner
VS
Liu Pingyuan
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1367
Elo
1379
36
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damian StasiakL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Yaotzin Meza · Apr 15
W
SUBvs Filip Pejic · Apr 16
W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 16
L
vs Pedro Munhoz · May 17
L
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Oct 17
latest
Liu PingyuanL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Martin Day · Nov 18
L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Jul 19
L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Dec 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Damian StasiakMetricLiu Pingyuan
1.86
Strikes / min
—
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
Strike defense
—
2.64
TDs / 15 min
—
43%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1500Strikes22.6 vs —Takedowns2.0 vs —Sub Atts0.60 vs —Form-0.5 vs 0.0
Damian StasiakLiu Pingyuan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Damian Stasiak(6 fights)Liu Pingyuan(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.5|Blue +12.5
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Damian Stasiak

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6

Liu Pingyuan

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2