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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Damian Pinas won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1551
Damian Pinas editorial illustration
Elo1505

Damian PinasvsWes SchultzUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Saturday, February 28, 2026Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Damian Pinas won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:30

Style matchupDamian Pinas: Pressure fightervsWes Schultz: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Damian Pinas wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Damian Pinas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Damian Pinas at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Damian Pinas has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Damian Pinas has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Damian Pinas
Red Corner
VS
Wes Schultz
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+198
(34%)
1551
Elo
1505
24
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damian Pinas
oldest →
W
KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jul 26
latest
Wes Schultz
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ben Johnston · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Damian PinasMetricWes Schultz
7.50
Strikes / min
2.91
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.11
56%
Strike defense
43%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.39
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
3.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.75Δ 3.95 — meaningful gap-0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes7.5 vs 4.6Takedowns0.0 vs 4.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.10Form0.0 vs 0.0
Damian PinasWes Schultz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601488151515431570← oldermost recent →
Damian Pinas(2 fights)Wes Schultz(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +45.4|Blue -45.4
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Damian PinasTargetWes Schultz

By target zone

9
56% acc · 60%
Head
0
0% acc
2
67% acc · 13%
Body
2
40% acc · 67%
4
100% acc · 27%
Leg
1
50% acc · 33%

By position

8
62% acc · 53%
Distance
3
25% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 7%
Clinch
0
0% acc
6
67% acc · 40%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Damian Pinas rounds
0
even
0
Wes Schultz rounds
Round 1Damian Pinas edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:49
Knockdowns2
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
15 / 23
Sig Strikes
3 / 13
65%
Sig Str %
23%
22 / 30
Total Strikes
5 / 16
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 6
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:49
Ctrl Time
0:28

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Wes Schultz3 / 135 / 160 / 60
1Damian Pinas15 / 2322 / 300 / 00

Damian Pinas

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2

Wes Schultz

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights1