Welterweight

3 Rounds

DaMarques Johnson won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1352

Elo1490

DaMarques JohnsonvsBrad BlackburnUFC Prediction Result

UFC 112: Invincible · Saturday, April 10, 2010Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

DaMarques Johnson won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:08

Model Prediction: Brad Blackburn wins(59.6%)

Actual result: DaMarques Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brad Blackburn at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Brad Blackburn has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Brad Blackburn has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

DaMarques Johnson

Red Corner

Brad Blackburn

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1352

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

DaMarques JohnsonL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Amir Sadollah · Mar 11

KOvs Clay Harvison · Nov 11

SUBvs John Maguire · Apr 12

KOvs Mike Swick · Aug 12

SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Sep 12

latest

Brad BlackburnNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

DaMarques JohnsonMetricBrad Blackburn

2.11

Strikes / min

4.55

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

3.59

51%

Strike defense

65%

1.18

TDs / 15 min

0.93

19%

Takedown defense

76%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.64Δ 2.60 — meaningful gap+0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

DaMarques JohnsonBrad Blackburn

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

DaMarques Johnson(8 fights)Brad Blackburn(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.4|Blue +138.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

DaMarques JohnsonTargetBrad Blackburn

By target zone

30% acc · 91%

Head

36% acc · 54%

60% acc · 9%

Body

55% acc · 20%

Leg

68% acc · 25%

By position

29% acc · 85%

Distance

44% acc · 93%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

25% acc · 2%

100% acc · 9%

Ground

75% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

DaMarques Johnson rounds

even

Brad Blackburn rounds

Round 1Brad Blackburn edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 2Brad Blackburn edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:14Control

Round 3DaMarques Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:39

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:08Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 108

Sig Strikes

59 / 132

43.3%

Sig Str %

38.3%

42 / 117

Total Strikes

83 / 165

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 5

—

TD %

83.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

3:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brad Blackburn	27 / 64	32 / 69	1 / 2	0
1	DaMarques Johnson	12 / 45	12 / 45	0 / 0	1
2	Brad Blackburn	31 / 64	41 / 77	2 / 2	2
2	DaMarques Johnson	15 / 54	15 / 54	0 / 0	0
3	Brad Blackburn	1 / 4	10 / 19	1 / 1	0
3	DaMarques Johnson	7 / 9	15 / 18	0 / 0	0

DaMarques Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Brad Blackburn

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights1