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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Amir Sadollah won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1352

Elo1354

DaMarques JohnsonvsAmir SadollahUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · Saturday, March 26, 2011Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Amir Sadollah won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:27

Model Prediction: DaMarques Johnson wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Amir Sadollah wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

DaMarques Johnson at +220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Amir Sadollah has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

DaMarques Johnson

Red Corner

Amir Sadollah

Blue Corner

+220

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-240

(71%)

1352

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

DaMarques JohnsonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mike Guymon · Jan 11

KOvs Clay Harvison · Nov 11

SUBvs John Maguire · Apr 12

KOvs Mike Swick · Aug 12

SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Sep 12

latest

Amir SadollahL2 streak

oldest →

vs Peter Sobotta · Nov 10

vs Duane Ludwig · Aug 11

vs Jorge Lopez · May 12

vs Dan Hardy · Sep 12

vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Sep 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

DaMarques JohnsonMetricAmir Sadollah

2.11

Strikes / min

4.71

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

3.55

51%

Strike defense

60%

1.18

TDs / 15 min

0.57

19%

Takedown defense

60%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.64Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

DaMarques JohnsonAmir Sadollah

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

DaMarques Johnson(8 fights)Amir Sadollah(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -2.2|Blue +2.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

DaMarques JohnsonTargetAmir Sadollah

By target zone

45% acc · 85%

Head

47% acc · 71%

60% acc · 11%

Body

72% acc · 21%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

83% acc · 8%

By position

45% acc · 67%

Distance

43% acc · 35%

58% acc · 26%

Clinch

70% acc · 23%

40% acc · 7%

Ground

57% acc · 42%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

DaMarques Johnson rounds

even

Amir Sadollah rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control2:23

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:08Control

Round 2Amir Sadollah edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:13

41Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 57

Sig Strikes

62 / 117

47.5%

Sig Str %

53.5%

31 / 63

Total Strikes

75 / 134

2 / 4

TDs

2 / 2

33%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:36

Ctrl Time

3:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Amir Sadollah	21 / 37	28 / 45	1 / 1
1	DaMarques Johnson	14 / 32	17 / 37	2 / 3
2	Amir Sadollah	41 / 80	47 / 89	1 / 1
2	DaMarques Johnson	13 / 25	14 / 26	0 / 1

DaMarques Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Amir Sadollah

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights7