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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Dalcha Lungiambula won · U-DEC

Elo1442

Elo1395

Dalcha LungiambulavsMarkus PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · Wednesday, January 20, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Dalcha Lungiambula won

U-DEC

Style matchupDalcha Lungiambula: WrestlervsMarkus Perez: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Dalcha Lungiambula wins(60.4%)

Actual result: Dalcha Lungiambula wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dalcha Lungiambula at -143 American odds

+$70 profit

$170 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Dalcha Lungiambula

Red Corner

Markus Perez

Blue Corner

-143

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1442

Elo

1395

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dalcha LungiambulaL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Nov 19

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Sep 21

SUBvs Cody Brundage · Mar 22

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jul 22

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec 22

latest

Markus PerezL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs James Bochnovic · May 18

vs Andrew Sanchez · Aug 18

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 19

vs Wellington Turman · Nov 19

KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dalcha LungiambulaMetricMarkus Perez

3.07

Strikes / min

2.60

3.93

Strikes absorbed / min

3.72

52%

Strike defense

52%

2.14

TDs / 15 min

0.81

77%

Takedown defense

77%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.86evenly matched on net striking-1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dalcha LungiambulaMarkus Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dalcha Lungiambula(7 fights)Markus Perez(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.0|Blue -47.0

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +336.0|Blue -336.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dalcha LungiambulaTargetMarkus Perez

By target zone

36% acc · 59%

Head

27% acc · 28%

71% acc · 41%

Body

83% acc · 60%

0% acc

Leg

60% acc · 12%

By position

15% acc · 17%

Distance

49% acc · 72%

63% acc · 17%

Clinch

58% acc · 28%

83% acc · 66%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dalcha Lungiambula rounds

even

Markus Perez rounds

Round 1Dalcha Lungiambula edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control3:01

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:54Control

Round 2Dalcha Lungiambula edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control3:43

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Markus Perez edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:02

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:27Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 65

Sig Strikes

25 / 49

44.3%

Sig Str %

50.3%

61 / 98

Total Strikes

50 / 75

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:46

Ctrl Time

4:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Markus Perez	5 / 13	12 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Dalcha Lungiambula	8 / 15	16 / 23	1 / 1	0
2	Markus Perez	6 / 10	14 / 18	0 / 0	1
2	Dalcha Lungiambula	15 / 28	33 / 47	0 / 0	0
3	Markus Perez	14 / 26	24 / 37	0 / 1	0
3	Dalcha Lungiambula	6 / 22	12 / 28	0 / 1	0

Dalcha Lungiambula

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7

Markus Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7