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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Marc-Andre Barriault won · U-DEC R3
Elo1442
Dalcha Lungiambula
Elo1478
Marc-Andre Barriault

Dalcha LungiambulavsMarc-Andre BarriaultUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · Saturday, September 4, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Marc-Andre Barriault won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDalcha Lungiambula: WrestlervsMarc-Andre Barriault: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Marc-Andre Barriault wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Marc-Andre Barriault wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marc-Andre Barriault at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Marc-Andre Barriault is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Dalcha Lungiambula has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Dalcha Lungiambula
Red Corner
VS
Marc-Andre Barriault
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
1442
Elo
1478
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dalcha LungiambulaL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Nov 19
W
vs Markus Perez · Jan 21
L
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Mar 22
L
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jul 22
L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec 22
latest
Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24
L
KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24
W
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25
L
vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25
L
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dalcha LungiambulaMetricMarc-Andre Barriault
3.07
Strikes / min
5.65
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
5.94
52%
Strike defense
49%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
0.34
77%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86evenly matched on net striking-0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1489Strikes3.0 vs 5.8Takedowns2.0 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs 0.4
Dalcha LungiambulaMarc-Andre Barriault

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Dalcha Lungiambula(7 fights)Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -36.2|Blue +36.2
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +66.0|Blue -66.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dalcha LungiambulaTargetMarc-Andre Barriault

By target zone

60
32% acc · 71%
Head
80
34% acc · 68%
21
81% acc · 25%
Body
24
60% acc · 20%
4
67% acc · 5%
Leg
14
88% acc · 12%

By position

64
35% acc · 75%
Distance
93
37% acc · 79%
21
66% acc · 25%
Clinch
25
64% acc · 21%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dalcha Lungiambula rounds
1
even
2
Marc-Andre Barriault rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control0:31
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Marc-Andre Barriault edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:01
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Marc-Andre Barriault edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:00
65Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
85 / 217
Sig Strikes
118 / 289
37%
Sig Str %
37.7%
87 / 219
Total Strikes
128 / 299
2 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
22%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:32
Ctrl Time
0:31

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Marc-Andre Barriault15 / 5517 / 570 / 00
1Dalcha Lungiambula10 / 3310 / 332 / 30
2Marc-Andre Barriault38 / 9638 / 960 / 00
2Dalcha Lungiambula32 / 8232 / 820 / 10
3Marc-Andre Barriault65 / 13873 / 1460 / 00
3Dalcha Lungiambula43 / 10245 / 1040 / 10

Dalcha Lungiambula

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7

Marc-Andre Barriault

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17