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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Dalcha Lungiambula won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1442

Elo1389

Dalcha LungiambulavsDequan TownsendUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, June 29, 2019Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA

Official fight result

Dalcha Lungiambula won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:42

Model Prediction: Dalcha Lungiambula wins(62.1%)

Actual result: Dalcha Lungiambula wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dalcha Lungiambula at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dalcha Lungiambula is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Dequan Townsend has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Dalcha Lungiambula has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Dalcha Lungiambula has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Dalcha Lungiambula

Red Corner

Dequan Townsend

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+335

(23%)

1442

Elo

1389

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dalcha LungiambulaL4 streak

oldest →

vs Markus Perez · Jan 21

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Sep 21

SUBvs Cody Brundage · Mar 22

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jul 22

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec 22

latest

Dequan TownsendL3 streak

oldest →

vs Bevon Lewis · Jan 20

vs Devin Clark · Feb 20

KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dalcha LungiambulaMetricDequan Townsend

3.07

Strikes / min

1.23

3.93

Strikes absorbed / min

3.92

52%

Strike defense

38%

2.14

TDs / 15 min

0.00

77%

Takedown defense

46%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.86Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap-2.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dalcha LungiambulaDequan Townsend

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dalcha Lungiambula(7 fights)Dequan Townsend(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.2|Blue -52.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dalcha LungiambulaTargetDequan Townsend

By target zone

73% acc · 69%

Head

35% acc · 62%

75% acc · 28%

Body

67% acc · 31%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

47% acc · 22%

Distance

32% acc · 62%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 15%

88% acc · 72%

Ground

100% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dalcha Lungiambula rounds

even

Dequan Townsend rounds

Round 1Dalcha Lungiambula edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control3:18

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Dalcha Lungiambula edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control4:12

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Dalcha Lungiambula edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 43

Sig Strikes

13 / 30

71.7%

Sig Str %

40.3%

64 / 80

Total Strikes

32 / 50

4 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:45

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dequan Townsend	5 / 14	10 / 20	0 / 0
1	Dalcha Lungiambula	6 / 10	17 / 22	2 / 4
2	Dequan Townsend	7 / 13	21 / 27	0 / 0
2	Dalcha Lungiambula	10 / 14	27 / 34	2 / 2
3	Dequan Townsend	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0
3	Dalcha Lungiambula	16 / 19	20 / 24	0 / 0

Dalcha Lungiambula

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7

Dequan Townsend

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4