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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cody Brundage won · SUB R1
Elo1442
Dalcha Lungiambula
Elo1490

Dalcha LungiambulavsCody BrundageUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, March 12, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Brundage won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:41

Model Prediction: Cody Brundage wins(60.7%)

Actual result: Cody Brundage wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Brundage at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Cody Brundage is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Dalcha Lungiambula has lost 60% of fights by KO.
  • Dalcha Lungiambula has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dalcha Lungiambula
Red Corner
VS
Cody Brundage
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1442
Elo
1490
39
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dalcha LungiambulaL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Nov 19
W
vs Markus Perez · Jan 21
L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Sep 21
L
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jul 22
L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec 22
latest
Cody Brundage
oldest →
D
vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25
L
vs Eric McConico · Aug 25
L
KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26
L
vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26
W
KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dalcha LungiambulaMetricCody Brundage
3.07
Strikes / min
2.26
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
52%
Strike defense
50%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
1.88
77%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86evenly matched on net striking-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1497 vs 1482Strikes3.1 vs 1.6Takedowns2.1 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.90Form-0.3 vs -1.0
Dalcha LungiambulaCody Brundage

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Dalcha Lungiambula(7 fights)Cody Brundage(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dalcha LungiambulaTargetCody Brundage

By target zone

26
50% acc · 90%
Head
2
40% acc · 50%
3
75% acc · 10%
Body
1
100% acc · 25%
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 25%

By position

6
38% acc · 21%
Distance
3
43% acc · 75%
15
60% acc · 52%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 25%
8
53% acc · 28%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Dalcha Lungiambula rounds
0
even
0
Cody Brundage rounds
Round 1Dalcha Lungiambula edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control1:52
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
29 / 56
Sig Strikes
4 / 8
51%
Sig Str %
50%
50 / 83
Total Strikes
4 / 8
1 / 1
TDs
1 / 4
100%
TD %
25%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
1:52
Ctrl Time
0:35

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cody Brundage4 / 84 / 81 / 41
1Dalcha Lungiambula29 / 5650 / 831 / 10

Dalcha Lungiambula

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14