Lightweight

3 Rounds

Viacheslav Borshchev won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1416

Elo1471

Dakota BushvsViacheslav BorshchevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Saturday, January 15, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Viacheslav Borshchev won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:47

Style matchupDakota Bush: WrestlervsViacheslav Borshchev: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Viacheslav Borshchev wins(60.6%)

Actual result: Viacheslav Borshchev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viacheslav Borshchev at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viacheslav Borshchev enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Viacheslav Borshchev is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Dakota Bush has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Viacheslav Borshchev has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Viacheslav Borshchev has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Dakota Bush has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dakota Bush

Red Corner

Viacheslav Borshchev

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1416

Elo

1471

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dakota Bush

oldest →

vs Austin Hubbard · Apr 21

latest

Viacheslav BorshchevL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chase Hooper · May 24

vs James Llontop · Aug 24

vs Tom Nolan · Feb 25

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jun 25

vs Matheus Camilo · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dakota BushMetricViacheslav Borshchev

2.77

Strikes / min

5.10

4.42

Strikes absorbed / min

4.46

41%

Strike defense

57%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

43%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.65Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap+0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dakota BushViacheslav Borshchev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dakota Bush(2 fights)Viacheslav Borshchev(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -55.8|Blue +55.8

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dakota BushTargetViacheslav Borshchev

By target zone

32% acc · 73%

Head

47% acc · 56%

67% acc · 18%

Body

100% acc · 31%

50% acc · 9%

Leg

67% acc · 13%

By position

30% acc · 73%

Distance

40% acc · 38%

100% acc · 18%

Clinch

100% acc · 25%

100% acc · 9%

Ground

75% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dakota Bush rounds

even

Viacheslav Borshchev rounds

Round 1Viacheslav Borshchev edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control1:30

Knockdowns0

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 30

Sig Strikes

16 / 27

36%

Sig Str %

59%

11 / 30

Total Strikes

17 / 28

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

66%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:30

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Viacheslav Borshchev	16 / 27	17 / 28	0 / 0	0
1	Dakota Bush	11 / 30	11 / 30	2 / 3	0

Dakota Bush

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2

Viacheslav Borshchev

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9