Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Reza Madadi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Reza Madadi has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe DuffyL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 16W
SUBvs Mitch Clarke · Jul 16L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20 Reza Madadi
oldest →L
vs Cristiano Marcello · Oct 12W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13L
vs Norman Parke · Oct 15W
KOvs Yan Cabral · May 16L
vs Joaquim Silva · May 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe DuffyMetricReza Madadi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.10evenly matched on net striking-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe DuffyReza Madadi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Duffy(8 fights)Reza Madadi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.0|Blue -26.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -60.0|Blue +60.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe DuffyTargetReza Madadi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Duffy edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control3:34
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 2Joe Duffy edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 3Joe Duffy edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:46
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
