Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Sam Hughes won · S-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1509

Viktoriia DudakovavsSam HughesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Saturday, August 3, 2024Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Sam Hughes won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupViktoriia Dudakova: WrestlervsSam Hughes: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sam Hughes wins(55.4%)

Actual result: Sam Hughes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sam Hughes at +175 American odds

+$175 profit

$275 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sam Hughes has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Viktoriia Dudakova

Red Corner

Sam Hughes

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1492

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viktoriia Dudakova

oldest →

KOvs Istela Nunes · Jul 23

vs Jinh Yu Frey · Oct 23

KOvs Fatima Kline · Jan 25

latest

Sam Hughes

oldest →

vs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 23

vs Yazmin Jauregui · Feb 24

vs Stephanie Luciano · Mar 25

SUBvs Shauna Bannon · Sep 25

vs Piera Rodriguez · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viktoriia DudakovaMetricSam Hughes

2.87

Strikes / min

4.41

3.40

Strikes absorbed / min

4.69

50%

Strike defense

58%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

1.12

33%

Takedown defense

63%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.53evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Viktoriia DudakovaSam Hughes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viktoriia Dudakova(4 fights)Sam Hughes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.7|Blue +17.7

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viktoriia DudakovaTargetSam Hughes

By target zone

37% acc · 74%

Head

44% acc · 67%

71% acc · 25%

Body

63% acc · 25%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

40% acc · 82%

Distance

48% acc · 89%

58% acc · 18%

Clinch

67% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viktoriia Dudakova rounds

even

Sam Hughes rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control1:24

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 2Sam Hughes edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control1:23

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 3Sam Hughes edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control1:51

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 144

Sig Strikes

97 / 193

42.7%

Sig Str %

51%

104 / 199

Total Strikes

139 / 240

3 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

34.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:38

Ctrl Time

2:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sam Hughes	30 / 70	39 / 80	0 / 0
1	Viktoriia Dudakova	25 / 66	34 / 79	1 / 3
2	Sam Hughes	41 / 80	54 / 96	0 / 0
2	Viktoriia Dudakova	25 / 53	34 / 65	1 / 5
3	Sam Hughes	26 / 43	46 / 64	0 / 0
3	Viktoriia Dudakova	11 / 25	36 / 55	1 / 2

Viktoriia Dudakova

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4

Sam Hughes

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12