Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22 Alejandro Perez
oldest →W
KOvs Matthew Lopez · Apr 18L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19W
SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eddie WinelandMetricAlejandro Perez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.36evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eddie WinelandAlejandro Perez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eddie Wineland(10 fights)Alejandro Perez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -67.3|Blue +67.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +357.0|Blue -357.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Eddie WinelandTargetAlejandro Perez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:02
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Alejandro Perez edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:04
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alejandro Perez edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
