Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ivan Menjivar has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ivan MenjivarL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs John Albert · Feb 12W
SUBvs Azamat Gashimov · Nov 12L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Feb 13 Wilson Reis
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ivan MenjivarMetricWilson Reis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ivan MenjivarWilson Reis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ivan Menjivar(8 fights)Wilson Reis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.6|Blue +138.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ivan MenjivarTargetWilson Reis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 2Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:52Control
Round 3Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
