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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Diyar Nurgozhay won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1527

Elo1431

Diyar NurgozhayvsBruno LopesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Diyar Nurgozhay won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:59

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Diyar Nurgozhay

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Diyar Nurgozhay at -147 American odds · hypothetical only

+$68 profit

$168 total returned

Style matchupDiyar Nurgozhay: Elusive strikervsBruno Lopes: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Diyar Nurgozhay is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Bruno Lopes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Bruno Lopes has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Diyar Nurgozhay

Red Corner

Bruno Lopes

Blue Corner

-147

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+122

(45%)

1527

Elo

1431

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Diyar Nurgozhay

oldest →

SUBvs Brendson Ribeiro · Mar 25

SUBvs Uran Satybaldiev · Aug 25

vs Rafael Tobias · Mar 26

latest

Bruno LopesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Magomed Gadzhiyasulov · Jan 25

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · May 25

KOvs Navajo Stirling · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Diyar NurgozhayMetricBruno Lopes

4.52

Strikes / min

2.88

2.81

Strikes absorbed / min

4.21

61%

Strike defense

54%

1.37

TDs / 15 min

1.93

80%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.71Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap-1.33

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Diyar Nurgozhay(4 fights)Bruno Lopes(4 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Diyar NurgozhayTargetBruno Lopes

By target zone

57% acc · 35%

Head

18% acc · 14%

88% acc · 29%

Body

67% acc · 29%

71% acc · 35%

Leg

100% acc · 57%

By position

61% acc · 71%

Distance

56% acc · 100%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 25%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Diyar Nurgozhay rounds

even

Bruno Lopes rounds

Round 1Diyar Nurgozhay edged it

Sig. strikes48

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns2

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 70

Sig Strikes

14 / 25

68%

Sig Str %

56%

48 / 70

Total Strikes

14 / 25

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bruno Lopes	14 / 25	14 / 25	1 / 1	0
1	Diyar Nurgozhay	48 / 70	48 / 70	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Diyar Nurgozhay

Odds

-147

Market-implied probability

Diyar Nurgozhay 57%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Diyar Nurgozhay (model pick · research)$168

Bruno Lopes$222

57% market-implied · model 56% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 19, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC · never rewritten

Diyar Nurgozhay

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4

Bruno Lopes

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4