Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Nolan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Nolan (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikolas Motta
oldest →L
KOvs Jim Miller · Feb 22W
KOvs Cameron VanCamp · Sep 22L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Jun 23L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Jun 25 Tom NolanW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Victor Martinez · May 24W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Feb 25W
SUBvs Charlie Campbell · Sep 25W
DECvs Fares Ziam · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikolas MottaMetricTom Nolan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.15Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap+1.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nikolas MottaTom Nolan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikolas Motta(6 fights)Tom Nolan(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -59.4|Blue +59.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nikolas MottaTargetTom Nolan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nikolas Motta edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
