Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26 Alex Pereira
oldest →W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 24W
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 25L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean StricklandMetricAlex Pereira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.45evenly matched on net striking+1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean StricklandAlex Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Strickland(10 fights)Alex Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.8|Blue -6.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean StricklandTargetAlex Pereira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
