← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Pedro Munhoz won · SUB R1

Elo1488

Elo1490

Pedro MunhozvsRob FontUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · Saturday, October 28, 2017Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Pedro Munhoz won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:03

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsRob Font: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Rob Font wins(67.9%)

Actual result: Pedro Munhoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rob Font at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Pedro Munhoz has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Rob Font has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Rob Font

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1488

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

165.1 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricRob Font

5.38

Strikes / min

5.11

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.53

55%

Strike defense

57%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

0.70

82%

Takedown defense

37%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91Δ 2.49 — meaningful gap+1.58

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozRob Font

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Rob Font(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +41.0|Blue -41.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetRob Font

By target zone

34% acc · 55%

Head

44% acc · 77%

25% acc · 5%

Body

40% acc · 20%

67% acc · 40%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

42% acc · 100%

Distance

44% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Rob Font rounds

Round 1Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:02

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 48

Sig Strikes

30 / 68

41%

Sig Str %

44%

20 / 48

Total Strikes

30 / 68

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rob Font	30 / 68	30 / 68	0 / 1	0
1	Pedro Munhoz	20 / 48	20 / 48	0 / 1	1

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21