Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- BJ Penn enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
BJ PennL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Rory MacDonald · Dec 12L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Jul 14L
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jan 17L
SUBvs Ryan Hall · Dec 18 Dennis SiverL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13W
vs Charles Rosa · Oct 14L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 15L
vs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
BJ PennMetricDennis Siver
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
BJ PennDennis Siver
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
BJ Penn(10 fights)Dennis Siver(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -118.1|Blue +118.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -575.0|Blue +575.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
BJ PennTargetDennis Siver
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dennis Siver edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:12
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2BJ Penn edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control1:50
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Dennis Siver edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
56Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
