Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Junior Dos Santos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20 Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior Dos SantosMetricTai Tuivasa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.16Δ 2.40 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Junior Dos SantosTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -60.0|Blue +60.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Junior Dos SantosTargetTai Tuivasa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Junior Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Tai Tuivasa edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 2Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:47
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
0Knockdowns
