Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Cerqueira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Cerqueira (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Brendson Ribeiro · Apr 26W
KOvs Julius Walker · Jun 26 Rafael CerqueiraL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 25L
vs Julius Walker · Aug 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevMetricRafael Cerqueira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+5.10Δ 8.59 — meaningful gap-3.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevRafael Cerqueira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev(3 fights)Rafael Cerqueira(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +128.3|Blue -128.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevTargetRafael Cerqueira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev rounds
Round 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:24
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
