Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michihiro Omigawa has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Iuri Alcantara (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iuri Alcantara
oldest →W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18 Michihiro Omigawa
oldest →L
vs Darren Elkins · Jun 11L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Aug 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iuri AlcantaraMetricMichihiro Omigawa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.07evenly matched on net striking-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Iuri AlcantaraMichihiro Omigawa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)Michihiro Omigawa(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.6|Blue -139.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Iuri AlcantaraTargetMichihiro Omigawa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Michihiro Omigawa rounds
Round 1Iuri Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:23
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 2Iuri Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control3:54
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:01
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
