Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
KOvs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22 Bryan CarawayL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Erik Perez · Jun 14L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 14W
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 16L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 18L
KOvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eddie WinelandMetricBryan Caraway
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.36evenly matched on net striking-1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eddie WinelandBryan Caraway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eddie Wineland(10 fights)Bryan Caraway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +58.4|Blue -58.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Eddie WinelandTargetBryan Caraway
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 2Bryan Caraway edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Bryan Caraway edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:03
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
