Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
- Nasrat Haqparast has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 22W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25 Jared GordonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 22W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25L
SUBvs Jim Miller · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nasrat HaqparastMetricJared Gordon
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.36Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nasrat HaqparastJared Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)Jared Gordon(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.4|Blue -27.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nasrat HaqparastTargetJared Gordon
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nasrat Haqparast edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:03
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:13Control
Round 2Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
55Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:34Control
Round 3Nasrat Haqparast edged it
Sig. strikes74
Takedowns0
Control0:00
70Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
