Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Alessandro Costa is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Kevin Borjas has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alessandro Costa has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alessandro CostaW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Alden Coria · Sep 25W
KOvs Stewart Nicoll · Apr 26W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Jun 26W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Jul 26 Kevin Borjas
oldest →W
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Mar 25L
KOvs Imanol Rodriguez · Feb 26W
DECvs Andre Lima · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alessandro CostaMetricKevin Borjas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.01Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap-1.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alessandro Costa(8 fights)Kevin Borjas(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +57.0|Blue -57.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alessandro CostaTargetKevin Borjas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:05
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alessandro Costa edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:38
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
