Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Emily Ducote has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Emily Ducote has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jessica Penne has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica PenneL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Danielle Taylor · Apr 17W
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 21W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Aug 21L
SUBvs Tabatha Ricci · Mar 23 Emily Ducote
oldest →L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 23W
vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 23L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica PenneMetricEmily Ducote
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.42Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jessica PenneEmily Ducote
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Penne(9 fights)Emily Ducote(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.7|Blue +3.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jessica PenneTargetEmily Ducote
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Emily Ducote edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Emily Ducote edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Emily Ducote edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
44Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
