Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).
- Kevin Holland has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin Holland
oldest →L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26 Daniel RodriguezW2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Nov 22L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricDaniel Rodriguez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin HollandDaniel Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.5|Blue +10.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin HollandTargetDaniel Rodriguez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:12
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Daniel Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:05
Knockdowns0
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:40Control
2Knockdowns
Round 3Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:50
Knockdowns1
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:54Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
