Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26 Sergey MorozovW2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Feb 22W
vs Raulian Paiva · Jun 22W
vs Journey Newson · Dec 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Umar NurmagomedovMetricSergey Morozov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.00Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Umar NurmagomedovSergey Morozov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)Sergey Morozov(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.4|Blue -38.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Umar NurmagomedovTargetSergey Morozov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Umar Nurmagomedov rounds
Round 1Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control1:08
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns3
Control1:49
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
