Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Will Campuzano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Scoggins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Scoggins has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Scoggins (53.5%).
- Will Campuzano has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Will CampuzanoL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Nick Pace · Dec 10L
vs Chris Cariaso · Jan 11L
vs Sergio Pettis · Nov 13 Justin ScogginsL3 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Joshua Sampo · May 15L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 16L
SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 17L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Will CampuzanoMetricJustin Scoggins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.39Δ 2.79 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Will CampuzanoJustin Scoggins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Will Campuzano(4 fights)Justin Scoggins(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.4|Blue +13.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +20.0|Blue -20.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Will CampuzanoTargetJustin Scoggins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:08Control
Round 2Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:07Control
Round 3Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
