Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyoto Machida has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto Machida
oldest →W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 14L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18 Eryk Anders
oldest →L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25W
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricEryk Anders
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.02Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lyoto MachidaEryk Anders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -20.9|Blue +20.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lyoto MachidaTargetEryk Anders
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lyoto Machida edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control2:18
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Lyoto Machida edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 3Eryk Anders edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 4Eryk Anders edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:25Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
