Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chepe Mariscal has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damon Jackson
oldest →W
KOvs Pat Sabatini · Sep 22L
vs Billy Quarantillo · Aug 23W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Apr 24L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24 Chepe Mariscal
oldest →W
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Sep 23W
vs Morgan Charriere · Apr 24W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 25L
vs Pat Sabatini · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damon JacksonMetricChepe Mariscal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Damon JacksonChepe Mariscal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damon Jackson(10 fights)Chepe Mariscal(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -31.4|Blue +31.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Damon JacksonTargetChepe Mariscal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chepe Mariscal edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:37
25Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 2Chepe Mariscal edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control1:17
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:30Control
Round 3Chepe Mariscal edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:24
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:56Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
