Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Almeida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rob Font is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Thomas Almeida has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Thomas Almeida has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Almeida (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thomas AlmeidaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · May 16W
KOvs Albert Morales · Nov 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 17L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 21 Rob FontL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23W
vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24W
vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25L
vs David Martinez · Sep 25L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thomas AlmeidaMetricRob Font
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.09Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap+1.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thomas AlmeidaRob Font
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thomas Almeida(10 fights)Rob Font(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -92.3|Blue +92.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thomas AlmeidaTargetRob Font
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rob Font edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 2Rob Font edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
