Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Ciryl Gane has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
- Ciryl Gane has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ciryl Gane
oldest →L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 26 Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ciryl GaneMetricTai Tuivasa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.96Δ 4.20 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ciryl GaneTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ciryl Gane(10 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +78.7|Blue -78.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ciryl GaneTargetTai Tuivasa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes53
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
