Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25 Yan Xiaonan
oldest →W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22W
KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23W
vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24L
vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricYan Xiaonan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.23Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Karolina KowalkiewiczYan Xiaonan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -16.1|Blue +16.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Karolina KowalkiewiczTargetYan Xiaonan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rounds
Round 1Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:14
36Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:52Control
Round 2Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:18
39Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:49Control
Round 3Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:13
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
