Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke BarnattL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Andrew Craig · Oct 13W
KOvs Mats Nilsson · Mar 14L
vs Roger Narvaez · Nov 14 Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke BarnattMetricSean Strickland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.56evenly matched on net striking+1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luke BarnattSean Strickland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Barnatt(6 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -175.6|Blue +175.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +4.0|Blue -4.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luke BarnattTargetSean Strickland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:05
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:23
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
