Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Brendan Allen threatens submissions; Anthony Hernandez has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25W
DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26 Anthony Hernandez
oldest →W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · May 23W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24W
SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricAnthony Hernandez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.03Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap+1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brendan AllenAnthony Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.4|Blue -20.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brendan AllenTargetAnthony Hernandez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Anthony Hernandez rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control2:09
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:23Control
Round 2Anthony Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:44
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:04Control
Round 3Anthony Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:05
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:55Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
