Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Iliarde Santos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Iuri Alcantara (53.5%).
- Iuri Alcantara has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iuri Alcantara
oldest →W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18 latest Iliarde SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Cariaso · Oct 13 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iuri AlcantaraMetricIliarde Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.07Δ 3.03 — meaningful gap-3.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Iuri AlcantaraIliarde Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)Iliarde Santos(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.7|Blue -138.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Iuri AlcantaraTargetIliarde Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Iuri Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:05
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.