Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Elias Silverio has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elias SilverioL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Joao Zeferino · Sep 13W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Jan 14L
KOvs Rashid Magomedov · Dec 14L
vs Shane Campbell · Aug 15 Ernest Chavez
oldest →W
vs Yosdenis Cedeno · Feb 14L
KOvs Zubaira Tukhugov · Oct 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elias SilverioMetricErnest Chavez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.70Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Elias SilverioErnest Chavez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elias Silverio(5 fights)Ernest Chavez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +38.0|Blue -38.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Elias SilverioTargetErnest Chavez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ernest Chavez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:03
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Elias Silverio edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 3Elias Silverio edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:35
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
