Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Elvis Mutapcic has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Anthony Smith has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elvis Mutapcic
oldest →L
vs Francimar Barroso · Jan 16 Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elvis MutapcicMetricAnthony Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.86evenly matched on net striking-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Elvis MutapcicAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elvis Mutapcic(2 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -126.4|Blue +126.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +173.0|Blue -173.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Elvis MutapcicTargetAnthony Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Elvis Mutapcic edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control4:18
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Anthony Smith edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
