Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gregor Gillespie is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Andrew Holbrook has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Gregor Gillespie has 90pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andrew Holbrook (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gregor Gillespie
oldest →W
KOvs Jordan Rinaldi · Jan 18W
SUBvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 18W
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jan 19W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 21 Andrew Holbrook
oldest →W
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jul 15L
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jul 16W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 16L
KOvs Thibault Gouti · Sep 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gregor GillespieMetricAndrew Holbrook
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.44Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gregor GillespieAndrew Holbrook
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)Andrew Holbrook(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +132.1|Blue -132.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gregor GillespieTargetAndrew Holbrook
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gregor Gillespie edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
