Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 21W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25 Daniel PinedaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 20L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricDaniel Pineda
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren ElkinsDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +10.4|Blue -10.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +287.0|Blue -287.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren ElkinsTargetDaniel Pineda
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniel Pineda edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:07
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:07Control
Round 2Darren Elkins edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control2:24
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Darren Elkins edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control2:02
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
