Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Sam Alvey is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Brendan Allen has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Sam Alvey has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Klidson Abreu · Jul 19L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22 Brendan AllenW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25W
DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam AlveyMetricBrendan Allen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam AlveyBrendan Allen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Alvey(10 fights)Brendan Allen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -119.9|Blue +119.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam AlveyTargetBrendan Allen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:07
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 2Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
