Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Roque Martinez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Don'Tale Mayes has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Don'Tale MayesL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25 Roque MartinezL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Sep 20L
vs Josh Parisian · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Don'Tale MayesMetricRoque Martinez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Don'Tale MayesRoque Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)Roque Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +80.0|Blue -80.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Don'Tale MayesTargetRoque Martinez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Don'Tale Mayes edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control1:34
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Don'Tale Mayes edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:06
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 3Roque Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:47
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:50Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
