Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Damir Ismagulov has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Damir Ismagulov has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damir IsmagulovL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Joel Alvarez · Feb 19W
vs Rafael Alves · May 21W
vs Guram Kutateladze · Jun 22L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 22L
vs Grant Dawson · Jul 23 Thiago MoisesL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24L
vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24L
KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25L
DECvs Gauge Young · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damir IsmagulovMetricThiago Moises
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.92Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap-1.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Damir IsmagulovThiago Moises
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damir Ismagulov(7 fights)Thiago Moises(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -16.7|Blue +16.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Damir IsmagulovTargetThiago Moises
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Damir Ismagulov edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:26
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Damir Ismagulov edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:51
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 3Damir Ismagulov edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
