Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24 Brendan Schaub
oldest →L
KOvs Minotauro Nogueira · Aug 11L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Apr 12W
vs Lavar Johnson · Feb 13W
SUBvs Matt Mitrione · Sep 13L
KOvs Travis Browne · Dec 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricBrendan Schaub
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Andrei ArlovskiBrendan Schaub
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Brendan Schaub(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.4|Blue -138.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.5|Blue -48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.9|Blue -49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Andrei ArlovskiTargetBrendan Schaub
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:11
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Brendan Schaub edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:32
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 3Brendan Schaub edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:26
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:57Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
