Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Terrance McKinney is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Kyle Nelson has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Kyle Nelson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Terrance McKinneyL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Esteban Ribovics · May 24W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25L
KOvs King Green · Jul 26 Kyle Nelson
oldest →W
vs Blake Bilder · Jun 23W
vs Fernando Padilla · Sep 23W
KOvs Bill Algeo · Mar 24L
KOvs Steve Garcia · Sep 24W
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Terrance McKinneyMetricKyle Nelson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+3.08Δ 4.06 — meaningful gap-0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Terrance McKinneyKyle Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Kyle Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.6|Blue -7.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Terrance McKinneyTargetKyle Nelson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Terrance McKinney rounds
Round 1Terrance McKinney edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:13
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
