Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jack Della Maddalena is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Gilbert Burns has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25L
KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 26 Jack Della MaddalenaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23W
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23W
vs Belal Muhammad · May 25L
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricJack Della Maddalena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap+1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gilbert BurnsJack Della Maddalena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Jack Della Maddalena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -40.2|Blue +40.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gilbert BurnsTargetJack Della Maddalena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Jack Della Maddalena rounds
Round 1Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns3
Control1:15
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jack Della Maddalena edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control1:39
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jack Della Maddalena edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns2
Control2:13
Knockdowns0
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
