Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daron Cruickshank enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Rio threatens submissions; Daron Cruickshank has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Daron Cruickshank has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daron Cruickshank (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daron CruickshankL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 14W
vs Anthony Njokuani · Oct 14L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Mar 15L
SUBvs James Krause · Jul 15L
SUBvs Paul Felder · Jan 16 Mike RioL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs John Cofer · Dec 12L
SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · May 13L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daron CruickshankMetricMike Rio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.10Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daron CruickshankMike Rio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daron Cruickshank(10 fights)Mike Rio(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.3|Blue -3.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daron CruickshankTargetMike Rio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Daron Cruickshank rounds
Round 1Daron Cruickshank edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:18
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Daron Cruickshank edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control1:09
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
